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The Output Dynamics in Q1 2019: Growth in Manufacturing Industries

Andrey S. Kaukin – Head of Department for System Analysis of Sectoral Markets, Institute of Industry and Markets Infrastructures, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Head of Sectoral Markets and Infrastructure Department of the Gaidar Institute, Candidate of Economic Sciences (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Eugenia M. Miller – Senior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Late in 2018, the manufacturing sector of the Russian economy saw stagnation; industries which received state support or took advantage of the favorable global market situation were on the rise. As seen from the data of the beginning of 2019, most manufacturing industries have growth. For some exceptions (for example, the food industry, the chemical industry and the iron and steel industry), this situation does not quite agree with previous trends, dynamics of fundamental factors, the recession in the wholesale and retail trade and stagnation in the cargo turnover and the building industry.

Key words: industrial production, manufacturing, growth rates, production indices, decomposing, trend component, tax regulation.