IMF and World Bank Downgraded World Economy Growth Forecast for 2022–2023 and Raised Inflation Projection for 2022

Urmat K. Dzhunkeev – Junior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Yury N. Perevyshin – Senior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Pavel V. Trunin – Head of Center for Macroeconomics and Finance of the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Director of Center for Central Banks Studies of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Doctor of Economic Sciences (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Maria I. Chembulatova – Junior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

The imposition of large-scale sanctions against Russia has a negative impact on the entire world economy, contributing to higher inflation and slower economic growth. The decline in GDP growth in most of the G-20 countries was affected, among other things, by the tightening of monetary policy in developed and developing countries. Record high rates of price growth led monetary authorities in the US, Australia, the UK, Canada, South Korea, India and Brazil to raise monetary policy rates between April 1 and May 10, 2022. The U.S. Federal Reserve announced the beginning of a balance sheet reduction from June 1, 2022. The Bank of Russia in April twice reduced its key rate by a total of 6 p.p. from a record level of 20% per annum due to the reduction of risks to financial and price stability in the Russian economy.

Key words: world economy, growth rates, forecast, monetary policy, IMF, World Bank.

JEL-codes: C53, C54, E52, E58.