Estimates of Russia’s Trade Turnover with Major Partners in January-July 2022

Alexander S. Firanchuk – Senior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, PhD in Economics (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Alexander Yu. Knobel – Head of Foreign Trade Department of the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Director of Center for Foreign Trade Department of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Director of the Institute for International Economics and Finance, Russian Foreign Trade Academy, Candidate of Economic Sciences (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Trade data of Russia’s main partners point to a significant decrease in supplies of goods to Russia, starting from March 2022 ($16 billion, -36% down from 2021), reaching their lowest values in April ($13 billion, -48%) and the subsequent adjustment in May-June ($16–17 billion, -34%). In the second quarter, the decline in imports from «unfriendly» countries (-59%) was more pronounced than shipments from neutral countries (-14%). Preliminary data for July point to a possible recovery in imports (-14%) due to increased shipments from China (+22%). Estimates of exports point to the preservation of supplies of Russian goods at the level of $48–61 bln per month, which is much higher than the level of 2021. Comparative dynamics of supplies point to the redirection of exports from «unfriendly» countries to neutral markets since April 2022.

Key words: foreign trade, exports, imports.

JEL-codes: F10, F14.