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Global Economic Development: Worsening Forecasts

Urmat K. Dzhunkeev – Junior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Yury N. Perevyshin – Senior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Pavel V. Trunin – Head of Center for Macroeconomics and Finance of the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Director of Center for Central Banks Studies of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, Doctor of Economic Sciences (Moscow, Russia). Е-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Maria I. Chembulatova – Junior Researcher of the Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (Moscow, Russia). E-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

In July, the IMF, the European Commission, and the Asian Development Bank updated their previous world economic development forecasts. In the updated IMF forecast, the global GDP growth rate for 2022 is reduced to 3.2% because of a slowdown in the movement of that indicator in the largest G20 economies. At the same time, for a number of G20 countries (Brazil, Indonesia, South Africa, and Russia) the projections for 2022 have been improved due to rising prices for energy and some metals; and in the case of Russia, also due to the effective measures designed to stabilize its financial sector. The forecasts are also deteriorating in view of the monetary policy tightening by the monetary authorities across a considerable majority of G20 countries in response to the acceleration of inflation.

Key words: world economy, growth rates, forecast, monetary policy, IMF, European Commission, Asian Development Bank.

JEL-codes: C53, C54, E52, E58.